Faced with the outgoing Democratic Party, an unprecedented bloc has been built between the right and the far right. The end result could be just one or two seats away.
A new European country with a government supported by the far right, or a third term for the left? Sweden finishes voting on Sunday September 11 after a campaign with maximum suspense and an unprecedented scenario, dominated by crime and inflation. Never until these legislative elections had the traditional Swedish right considered governing with the direct or indirect support of the Democrats of Sweden (SD).
However, according to the partial results, the outgoing left in Sweden is neck and neck with the unprecedented bloc between the right and the extreme right at the end of legislative elections, the final result of which could be decided by one or two seats.
While the exit polls gave the left a small lead, the right supported by the extreme right of the Democrats of Sweden (SD) would obtain the absolute majority of 175 seats against 174 for the left camp, based on votes. counted around 11:15 p.m. covering two-thirds of the polling stations.
The long pariah nationalist party
Long pariah, the nationalist and anti-immigration party is on the way according to the polls to grab a second place never reached and to become the first formation of a new right-wing bloc. “We want to be part of the government, we will see tonight if it will be possible“, their leader Jimmie Åkesson told reporters, waiting Sunday afternoon in a long queue to vote in Stockholm.
The outgoing Prime Minister, the Social Democrat Magdalena Andersson, hopes to stay in power by relying on a set of “Red Green“, for a third term of four years in a row for the left.
The campaign was dominated by themes likely to favor the right-wing opposition: criminality and deadly gang settling, soaring fuel and electricity prices, integration problems… But Magdalena’s solid popularity Andersson, whose trust rating exceeds that of his conservative rival Ulf Kristersson, as well as the bogeyman of the far right, are making the case for the left.
The day before, on her last day of campaigning, the 55-year-old leader said to herself “worried about a government completely dependent on the Democrats of Sweden“. The last two weeks of the campaign have seen the SD, led for the fifth election by Jimmie Åkesson, overtake the Moderates in the polls, around 19-21%, a new record. Significant immigration in recent years and serious nagging problems with criminal gangs have fueled the party.
349 seats to be filled
The post of Prime Minister traditionally returns in Sweden to the first party of the victorious alliance. If SD hopes for ministries, the other right-wing parties are reluctant to have him in government, preferring to have him in support of Parliament.
On the left too, the exact form of an executive coming out of the polls remains marked by uncertainty, with disagreements between parties of the Left and the Center. But political scientists say a political crisis similar to that which followed the 2018 elections – four months to form a government – is unlikely, as the camps are better delineated.
The victory of the right supported by the extreme right would open a new political era for Sweden, which must take the rotating presidency of the European Union on January 1 and finalize its historic candidacy for NATO – also supported by the rights.
A total of 349 seats are allocated proportionally to parties achieving at least 4%. To be invested, a Prime Minister must not have 175 votes or more against him, but not necessarily an absolute majority in his favour.